A few
days ago, I recorded one of those year-end radio discussions that help to fill
the schedules between Christmas and the New Year. (It'll be on the online radio
network Monocle24 on 26 December.)
You know
the kind of thing: highs and lows of the year gone by; thoughts about the year
to come; most influential political leaders. Right at the end, one of my fellow
panellists remarked: 'You know, there's one thing we haven't mentioned yet, and
that's climate change.'
The
presenter suggested that it might make a good name for a new radio show: 'One
thing we haven't mentioned yet'. And it would always be about climate change.
Earlier
this week, it was reported that sea ice levels in both the Antarctic and the
Arctic have hit record lows, leading to fears that the effects of climate
change might be far worse than previously thought.
According
to Mark Serreze, director of the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center in
Boulder, Colorado: 'There are some really crazy things going on.' In some parts
of the Arctic, temperatures last month were 20 degrees Celsius higher than
normal. I'll write that again: 20 degrees higher than normal.
Then on
Thursday, the sainted Sir David Attenborough said: 'There has never been a time
in history when the natural environment has been under greater threat than it
is now.'
So why
wasn't it splashed across all our front pages? Why do we pay more attention to
the late-night online ravings of the US president-elect than to threats of
impending global catastrophe?
In fact,
the two issues are not unrelated, given that Donald Trump has claimed (on
Twitter, of course) that 'the concept of global warming was created by and for
the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive.'
And now
he has appointed as the head of the US Environmental Protection Agency a man
who still insists that the evidence for human-induced climate change is 'far
from settled'. According to Michael
Brune of the environmental campaign group the Sierra Club, Scott Pruitt is 'a
climate science denier who, as attorney general for the state of Oklahoma,
regularly conspired with the fossil fuel industry to attack EPA regulations.'
The New York Times said his
appointment signalled 'Mr. Trump’s determination to dismantle President
Obama’s efforts to counter climate change — and much of the EPA itself.'
Poor old
Planet Earth. We journalists can't really cope with slow-moving stories, and we
hate complexity. Climate change is both, which is why stories about it tend to
get buried deep inside the newspapers, or way down at the bottom of their
websites. In the words of Alan Rusbridger, who mounted one last major climate
change campaign before he stepped down as editor of The Guardian last year: 'Journalism tends to be a rear-view mirror.
We prefer to deal with what has happened, not what lies ahead. We favour what
is exceptional and in full view over what is ordinary and hidden.'
Exceptional?
Like the fact that 2016 is about to go down as the hottest year on record? Ask people
where floods, storms, cyclones and hurricanes have devastated communities more
frequently than ever before -- and then ask how exceptional things have to be
before we take them seriously.
No one
knows what Donald Trump really thinks about climate change because he blows hot
and cold (sorry) about it. And it may well be that his new EPA director will
not have things all his own way. According to Richard Black, director of the
Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit: 'It's unclear to what extent Mr Pruitt will be able to deliver, or what
impact four years of trying will have in the real world. Many US states, headed
by California, are heading inexorably in a clean energy direction, and both
they and environment groups are promising legal action if the new
administration tries to turn back the clock.' (Full disclosure: I am a member
of the ECIU's advisory board.)
Of course, no one believes experts any more, so
perhaps there's no point quoting what they say. Senior military men are often
thought to know what's what, however -- certainly, Mr Trump seems to trust them
enough to stuff his administration with them -- so here's what some of them
think about climate change.
Brigadier General Stephen Cheney, of the US State
Department's Foreign Affairs Policy Board, for example: 'Climate change could lead to a humanitarian crisis of epic proportions.
We’re already seeing migration of large numbers of people around the world
because of food scarcity, water insecurity and extreme weather, and this is set
to become the new normal.'
And Major
General Munir Muniruzzaman, former military adviser to the President
of Bangladesh and chairman of the Global Military Advisory Council on Climate
Change: 'South Asia is one of the most water-stressed
regions of the world. A combination of water scarcity in the climate-induced
conditions and regional politics has made the right brew for a potential
conflict ... Climate change is the greatest security threat of the 21st
century.'
When I was in northern Nigeria last month to report
on the massive humanitarian crisis that is about to explode there following the
Boko Haram insurgency, I saw for myself what can happen when huge numbers of
people are displaced by violence caused at least in part by food scarcity. Yet
it is so much simpler to blame the disaster on jihadi extremists than to
confront the role played by changing climate patterns.
I have given up making predictions these days, but
today I'll make an exception: I predict that this blogpost will be shared by far fewer people online than anything I've
written over the past several weeks.
Climate change? Boring. Or will you prove me wrong?
Thank you for writing this. Many of us Americans are deeply, deeply concerned at the direction Trump seems to intend to take the U.S. (and world) regarding climate change, whose effects are all around us though he prefers not to see them. And how about "creating jobs" by reopening coal mines and fracking?
ReplyDeleteWell, I just shared it. You are precisely the sort of expert we have all reputedly heard too much of. LIke Malcolm Rifkind mentioning that Boris might like to reflect on the difference between his own views and those of the Govt he is paid to represent. And many others.
ReplyDeleteI have a long standing and deep respect for your broadcasting career, and this blog.
I shared this with others because Misha Glenna's Twitter feed brought me here.
ReplyDelete