And then
there were twelve. (Or maybe still eleven, because at the time of writing, Ian
Austin, the latest ex-Labour MP to tear up his party card, hasn’t quite decided
whether he’s going to join the TIG-gers, aka The Independent Group.)
But was
The Independent Group really the best name the Band of Very Unhappy MPs could
come up with? Why couldn’t they be more bold and call themselves the Nice
People Group? Or The Sensible Group? Or something even more vacuous?
I know
it’s easy to mock. But after weeks, nay months, of their shilly-shallying,
surely we are entitled to expect something a bit more, well, I don’t know, a
bit more inspirational?
I
acknowledge they had a problem. The obvious choice – The New Party – has been
tried before, in the 1930s, by Oswald Mosley (a former Labour MP, as it
happens), and it didn’t turn out well.
The truth,
I fear, is that they couldn’t choose the most honest name for themselves
because it would immediately reveal the paucity of what they agree on. The
Remainers Party? Honest, yes, because that is what they do agree on. An
electoral winner? Hmm, maybe not.
Yes, I
know I sound cynical. But when you’ve got a former Labour MP whose
sub-conscious somehow dredges up the words ‘funny-tinged’ when she’s discussing
voters from ethnic minorities, and a former Conservative MP who thinks George
Osborne’s austerity programme was a jolly good idea, well, somehow I reckon a
hefty dollop of at least scepticism is definitely required.
I
wondered, as I heard them lay out their stalls this week, why they hadn’t
decided to join the Green Party. Nice people, hearts in the right place,
anti-Brexit, what’s not to like? (Unless you live in Brighton, where they ran
the council between 2011 and 2015, but that’s another story.) And it could help
them tap into the support of all those soon-to-be voters who walked out of
school last week to demonstrate their concern about climate change.
But then I
heard the Greens’ co-leader Siân Berry tell the BBC’s Politics Live programme that all eleven of the Independent Group
had voted for the expansion of Heathrow airport. So that put the kibosh on that
idea. (I assume cuddling up to the Lib Dems would be regarded as a bad move on
the grounds that the brand is still too seriously tarnished by the party’s
participation in the Cameron-led coalition.)
The
group’s statement of principles is so anodyne that it would make a manifesto
promoting the values of motherhood and apple pie seem dangerously edgy in
comparison. ‘Our country faces big challenges which urgently need solving. Our
aim is to reach across outdated divides and build consensus to meet those
challenges. We will make decisions based on evidence – and arrive at them by
debating with tolerance and respect.’
(As of
Friday morning, by the way, the Statement of Independence on their website
still began with the words ‘We are leaving the Labour party …’, which will be a
bit of a shock to the self-styled Three Amigos, Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry and
Sarah Wollaston, who are all under the impression that they were, until this
week, members of the Conservative party.)
Yes, it’s
early days. We are promised more high-level defections, even a leader perhaps,
and some actual policies in the days to come. If some of Mrs May’s ministers
decide to clamber aboard the Good Ship Independent, who knows, the picture may
start to change very quickly indeed.
So stay
tuned next Wednesday, if you have the stomach for it, because that’s Mrs May’s
next Date with Danger. Another vote in the Commons, more threats of rebellion
from within her own ranks, and another potential defeat.
Meanwhile,
I have some questions for the Group of however-many-it-is-by-the-time-you-read-this.
What kind of organisation do you have on the ground? Are you ready to fight an
election? If you want to entice pro-Remain voters away from Corbynised Labour,
are you ready to take on the Momentum war machine? How much cash do you have?
Who and where has it come from?
Those who
welcome the emergence of the Independent Group will gaze longingly across the
Channel to Emmanuel Macron, who invented a totally new party in his own image,
swept into the Presidency and seized control of the National Assembly as an
unashamedly pro-EU centrist. I mean no disrespect to the TIG-gers, but I
don’t immediately see a British Macron among them.
Miserabilists
like me will instead point to once exciting new political starbursts like Syriza
in Greece, Podemos in Spain, and even that same M Macron in France, whose
popularity lasted about as long as a bottle of vin rouge in the Lustig household, and ponder on the fragility of politicians’
promises.
On the
other hand, good feminist that I am, I definitely welcome a new political
grouping in which the majority of founder members are women. (Which raises the
question: where stands the Women’s Equality Party on all this?)
Those of
us with long memories, of course, will recall the heady days of the SDP, another
pro-Europe, largely ex-Labour breakaway group, when in alliance with the
Liberals, they won twenty-five per cent of the vote in the 1983 general
election, just two per cent behind Labour. And when, thanks to our crazy voting
system, they won just twenty-three seats, compared to Labour’s 209.
Mind you,
the SDP’s legacy does live on. Three of its former members now sit in Theresa
May’s Cabinet: two of them are the business secretary Greg Clark and the
Scottish secretary David Mundell. (Mr Mundell, by the way, is said to be a
leading candidate in the who-will-jump-next stakes, which brings to mind one of
my favourite Winston Churchill quotes, after he rejoined the Conservative party
in 1924, having left to join the Liberals twenty years earlier. ‘Anyone can
rat, but it takes a certain amount of ingenuity to re-rat.’)
The third ex-SDP
member in the May cabinet is the transport secretary Chris Grayling, officially
awarded (by me) the title of Most Incompetent Minister Ever in All Of Human
History, and described witheringly by Anna Soubry this week as a man whose
career has ‘advanced on pitiful failure after failure.’
Probably
best not to remind her how he started out.
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